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Tuesday, July 21, 2015

IMP Powers Ltd (BSE 517571 / NSE INDLMETER) FV Rs 10 – CMP 84.00

IMP Powers Ltd (BSE 517571 / NSE INDLMETER) FV Rs 10 – CMP 84.00

IMP Powers Ltd (IMPPL) was incorporated in 1961, Growing from manufacturing Indistrial Meters, to India’s leading manufacturers of various types of Transformers, ranging from 1 MVA to 315 MVA, upto 400 kv Class with target of taking this production capacity upto 500 MVA., Today the company is amongst the Top 5 power transformer companies in India, in the 132 – 220 kv class.

IMPPL has well equipped Manufacturing Unit at Silvassa spread across 4 Acres, factory floor area for 1 Lakh Sq Ft Built up (Thus enjoying location advantage of close to National Highway and 3 Ports), for manufacturing the entire range of Transformers with an installed capacity of 12,000 MVA per annum, which is backed by in-house Design Center, R&D and own Impulse Testing facility upto 400 kva, which is accredited by NABL, (Department of Science & Technology, Government of India.)

The company is an approved Class ‘A’ supplier to all SEBs and other Government Agencies such as PGCIL, NTPC, NHPC & DVC. Non SEB customers include EPC companies, leading Consultants and other industrial players with whom IMPPL enjoys Preferred Vendors status.

IMPPL with a 5 decades of experience, has about 30,000 installations / Customer base which is spread across India and in about 26 countries across the world, catering the requirements of Utilities, SEB, PSUs and Private Industries. Some of the Clients are listed as below :

India : All SEBs (State Electrical Boards), State owned Transmission Companies, SAIL, PGCIL, ZESCO, Nepal Electricity Authority.

International : UK, African Continent, Asia and to the farthest corners and difficult terrains of Austrailia and New Zealand

EPCs : Godrej & Boyce Ltd, Jyoti Structures, KEC International, Larsen & Toubro, Kalpataru Power, UB Engg, IVRCL, Shreem

Corporates : Birla, Tata, Essar, Videocon, HPL Electric, Bajaj Electricals, Alstom, Crompton Greaves, ISOLUX, INABENSA, Siemens, Aditya Birla Group, Areva, Etc

Future Growth :

In India, the demand for equipment used in power sector is multiplying at a rapid rate because of social, economic and industrial development. The new government plans to fund up to 75% of the investment required to supply electricity through separate feeders for agricultural and rural domestic consumption, which will benefit the Power Sector Companies and ultimately boost the regional demand for power transformers. The government's commitment to provide 24x7 uninterrupted power supply to all homes and Deendayal Upadhyaya Gram Jyoti Yojana to augment power supply to rural areas, strengthen the sub-transmission and distribution systems will ultimately boost the demand for Power Transformers.



IMPPL now also focuses on growing export market sales especially in Africa, Asia & Middle East, tying up with several International EPC players, which will improve its profitability owing to higher gross margin ranging from 25% to 30%.



Order Book : as on June 2015 stands as : 291 Crores, for 4821 MVA. 44% orders are from SEBs, while 21% from EPC Contractors, 31% is Deemed Exports and 3% Exports Orders Received.

While the installed capacity increased from 7000 MVA to 12000 MVA in last 5 years, Production increased from 4000 MVA to 7883 MVA, capacity utilization increased from 25% to 40% during this period, keeping immense scope for order intake and production capacity, with no spending on Capex.

Industry Outlook :

The Transformer market revenues in India are expected to grow at the CAGR of 14 % till 2018. Under the 12th five year plan (2012-2017), the government plans to spend 200 billion on developing and strengthening power infrastructure in India. The Indian government expects to add another 85,000 MW of power capacity during the 12th Five-Year Plan (2012-2017) period. The demand for power Transformers is also expected to go up as a direct consequence. Government's attempt of attaining 100% electrification across the country by 2017 would contribute to the demand for power transformers. With the continuous support from the government to promote the power transformer industry through investments, tax benefits, subsidies, etc. will help the industry to grow over the coming years. With the upswing demand for reliable power in the country, the transformer market is witnessing a growth trend.



Triggers :

Company has idle plot of 20,000 Sq.Ft. at Kandivali west, the value of which should be not less than 60 Crores, if sold on outright basis, if develop & sold by the company, it can fetch a sale consideration anywhere between 80 to 100 Crore, depending on the project.

IMPPL is the only transformer company in India which is entitled for Sales Tax Exemption till 2017, such benefit will provide a significant price advantage to the company.

IMP Energy Ltd (IEL), a subsidiary company of IMPPL, incorporated in the year 2012, is acting as a Project Management Consultancy (PMC) to explore emerging opportunities in mini and small hydro power projects upto 25 MW. IEL received 13 small Hydro projects orders totaling 12.7 MW & amounting to Rs 137 Cr in Leh & Kargil, the progress of which is extremely encouraging. There may be value unlocking going forward, by listing this PMC subsidiary at rich valuations.

Falling in Input Prices of raw material such as Copper, Aluminium, Steel Stampings, Crude Oil (Transformer Oil), etc, will directly add to the bottom line of the company. Fall in interest rates will reduce the interest burden of the company.

The company has done CAPEX during tough times, the benefit of which will be seen going forward.

Valuations :

This Rs 10 paid up stock is trading at 0.8 times of book value of Rs 116.75 (Industry Price to Book Value 2.51), With FY 15 sales at 330 Cr and current Market Cap of only 70 Cr, its trading at Market Cap to Sales Ratio of ridiculously low of just 0.25 times. The company has turned around in last 3 quarters by making profit of Rs 6.43 Cr, giving EPS of Rs. 7.7 per share, making this stock so far the cheapest profit making company within the industry with a P/E of just 8.5 times (Industry PE of 68.63), if we add June 15 quarter EPS of 3, making this stock a great value pick among the high growth power sector with a modest target of 140 in the next 12 months.

Promoters recently allotted 500000 (5 Lakhs) shares to themselves at Rs 80 per share on Preferential basis, thus increase the stake in the company by a whopping 6% indirectly.



Saturday, July 11, 2015

FCEL - CMP 16 - FMCG Powerhouse in the making, Catch it Young.!!!

FUTURE CONSUMER ENTERPRISES LTD (FCEL) RS. 16 (FV RS. 6)

This backward integrated company, which sells white label FMCG goods, offers cheapest and best groceries in the shops, under its own Brand, which allows it to offer the highest value proposition while protecting its Margins, FMCG will be becoming a huge revenue and profit generator, and the most crucial part of the companys strategy. In the next 5 years, the management plans to increase its FMCG business to 10,000 Cr from present 1500 Cr, by increasing the number of stores to 4000, from the present 1300. The company is first retailer in India who is looking at creating brands not just for its own stores, but is also planning to retail them outside of its stores.

This company’s biggest USP is Food Park  known as “India Food Park” spread across 110 acres, located at Tumkur, Karnataka (100 KM from Bangalore on the NH4, connecting Channai & Mumbai) became operational in September 2014. Tumkur, also known for its availability of abundant natural resources and close proximity to major transportation modes, has more than 100 rice mills and is known for its production of Ragi, Sunflower, Coconut, Gherkins, Groundnut, Maize, Jowar, Spices, Sugarcane and Milk.

It is a joint venture between India’s Ministry of Food Processing Industry and FCEL with an investment of more than 1000 Crores. Food Products produced at the facility will be sold in the market through Future Group’s retail formats, including Big Bazaar, Food Bazaar, Foodhall, KBs Fair Price, Big Apple, Easyday and Aadhaar.

This backward integration will not only help the company to source locally available products at cheaper rates, but also help the company to get higher margins on its sales as compared to its rivals, which are outsourcing their products from different vendors at lower margins.

Unlike other retailers, who have created private brands only for commodity based products such as Rice, Flour and Sugar, FCEL has been creating well accepted brands such as Tasty Treats range of ready to eat snacks, Biscuits & Cookies, Sauces, Ketchups to Sach personal care products and sells everything branded in between such as fruit juices (Sunkist Brand from Growers Inc USA), Clean Mate & Care Mate for Person Hygiene and House Cleaning Solutions. The company is planning to launch 25 types of branded Enriched Flours, Range of Personal Care Brand “Think Skin”, besides range of Bakery & Dairy products under Nilgiris. The company has set up an Oats factory in Sri Lanka and would be soon launching its own brand of Oats. All these and other FMCG products will be sold directly to the customers through 188 Big Bazaar stores, 19 Food Bazaar stores, 11 Foodhalls and 125 KBs Fairprice shops in addition to 150 Nilgiris stores, 188 Easyday hypermarkets.

The Promoters holds 44%, while non promoters includes Godrej Agrovet, Azim Premji, Mittals of Bhartis (holds 9%, which will be increased upto 15% after convertible debentures, which can be converted into equity in future) Porinju Velayath through his PMS Equity Intelligence and various others HNIs.

 Valuations : At CMP of 16 the stock is trading at Price to Book Value of just 3 times (Industry average 6) and with FY 15 sales at 1500 Cr, Market Cap to Sales Ratio is just 2 (Industry average of 7) leaving immense scope for further appreciation in the next 5 years, where company plans to increase sale from 1500 to 10000 cr by 2020. Hence investors can buy this debt free company with clean balance sheet for long term multiple returns.